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Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is December 31 at 6.3%, ahead of November 30 at 1.3%. $35K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

6.3%
December 31 · Trade →

24h move

-2.1
pts · 7d -10.5

Volume

$35K
24h $230 · liquidity $7K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

FedTrumpFinancePoliticsFed Rates

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
December 316.3% -2.1-10.5$9K2.8¢
November 301.3% -0.4-4.7$2K1.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
December 31November 30

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31 at 6% risks 6¢ to win 94¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 6.3%, followed by November 30 at 1.3%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$35K in total and $230 in the last 24 hours, with about $7K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Fed Decision in December?How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Fed Decision in January?Fed Decision in March?How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)All live marketsMarkets resolving this weekPrediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.