How did "Kamala Harris blowout victory?" resolve?

It resolved No around December 5, 2024.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.3% one day before close, 90.5% one week before and 84.5% one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Kamala Harris blowout victory?: result and scorecard

Name: Kamala Harris blowout victory? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.3%; a week before, 90.5%. $2.3M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:06 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved November 7, 2024

Price 1 day before

99.3%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

90.5%

30 days before: 84.5%

Volume

$2.3M

1 outcome

Kamala Politics deprec USA Election landslide Trending Markets

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$2.3M
No	WON	$2.3M

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 100 or more electoral votes versus her closest competitor. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes, faithless electors shall have no effect on the outcome. This market's resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Kamala Harris blowout victory?" resolve?: It resolved No around December 5, 2024.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.3% one day before close, 90.5% one week before and 84.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $2.3M across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.