JOLTS Job Openings: October 2026: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 7.6M to 7.7M at 25.5%, ahead of 7.5M to 7.6M at 24.5%. $7K traded across 8 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
jobsJOLTSLaborEconomyRecurring
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 7.6M to 7.7M | 25.5% | +4.5 |
| 7.5M to 7.6M | 24.5% | +12.0 |
| <7.2M | 23.5% | +1.5 |
| 7.3M to 7.4M | 22.0% | +15.5 |
| 7.2M to 7.3M | 11.0% | +5.0 |
| 7.4M to 7.5M | 7.5% | -6.0 |
| 7.8M+ | 4.5% | -5.3 |
| 7.7M to 7.8M | 4.2% | -0.4 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in October 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in October 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on December 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "JOLTS Job Openings: October 2026"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 7.6M to 7.7M is the favorite at 25.5%, followed by 7.5M to 7.6M at 24.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $7K in total and $4K in the last 24 hours, with about $6K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.