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Resolved market scorecard

Where will Jimmy Butler get traded?: result and scorecard

Resolved Golden State Warriors. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 3.1%; a week before, 6.3%. $957K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Golden State Warriors
resolved February 6, 2025

Price 1 day before

3.1%
Market was confident and wrong

Price 7 days before

6.3%
30 days before: 3.9%

Volume

$957K
15 outcomes

NBASportsBucketsButlerJimmy

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Golden State WarriorsWON$41K
Brooklyn NetsLOST$517K
Los Angeles LakersLOST$154K
Los Angeles ClippersLOST$112K
Not TradedLOST$65K
Phoenix SunsLOST$23K
Orlando MagicLOST$23K
Houston RocketsLOST$10K
Dallas MavericksLOST$8K
Memphis GrizzliesLOST$3K
Team BLOST$0
Team CLOST$0
Team DLOST$0
Team ELOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-1401-1002-06
Golden State WarriorsBrooklyn NetsLos Angeles LakersLos Angeles Clippers
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 3% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This is a market on the likelihood of Jimmy Butler being traded from his current NBA team.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Where will Jimmy Butler get traded?" resolve?
It resolved Golden State Warriors around February 6, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 3.1% one day before close, 6.3% one week before and 3.9% one month before.
How much was traded?
$957K across 15 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.