M15 Fergana: Chirag Duhan vs Adrian Arcon: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Chirag Duhan at 88.5%, ahead of Adrian Arcon at 11.5%. $188 traded across 3 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| M15 Fergana: Chirag Duhan vs Adrian Arcon moneyline | Chirag Duhan 88.5% | Adrian Arcon 11.5% |
| M15 Fergana: Chirag Duhan vs Adrian Arcon Set Handicap +/-1.5 tennis set handicap | Chirag Duhan 50.0% | Adrian Arcon 50.0% |
| M15 Fergana: Chirag Duhan vs Adrian Arcon Set Handicap +/-1.5 tennis set handicap | Adrian Arcon 49.5% | Chirag Duhan 50.5% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Chirag Duhan and Adrian Arcon in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chirag Duhan' if Chirag Duhan advances against Adrian Arcon. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Chirag Duhan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "M15 Fergana: Chirag Duhan vs Adrian Arcon"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Chirag Duhan is the favorite at 88.5%, followed by M15 Fergana: Chirag Duhan vs Adrian Arcon Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Chirag Duhan at 50.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 13, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $188 in total and $188 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.