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Home / Markets / Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?
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Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 7.5% (0.0 pts in 24h). $4K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

7.5%
No 92.5% · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d -1.0

Volume

$4K
24h $0 · liquidity $3K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

AsiaPakistanPoliticsimran khaninternational affairs

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes7.5% 0.0-1.0$4K1.0¢
No92.5% 0.0+1.0$4K–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 8% risks 8¢ to win 93¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 7.5% and No at 92.5%, on $4K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$4K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.