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Home / Markets / Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Resolved market scorecard

Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place: result and scorecard

Resolved Mi Hazánk. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 95.9%; a week before, 98.3%. $179K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Mi Hazánk
resolved April 13, 2026

Price 1 day before

95.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.3%
30 days before: –

Volume

$179K
36 outcomes

HungaryGlobal ElectionsPoliticsHungary ElectionElections

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Mi HazánkWON$136K
MKKPLOST$10K
DKLOST$8K
Fidesz-KDNPLOST$6K
LMPLOST$6K
MomentumLOST$4K
MSZPLOST$4K
PárbeszédLOST$2K
JobbikLOST$2K
TISZALOST$2K
OtherLOST$0
Party BLOST$0
Party CLOST$0
Party DLOST$0
Party ELOST$0
Party FLOST$0
Party GLOST$0
Party HLOST$0
Party ILOST$0
Party JLOST$0
Party KLOST$0
Party LLOST$0
Party MLOST$0
Party NLOST$0
Party OLOST$0
Party PLOST$0
Party QLOST$0
Party RLOST$0
Party SLOST$0
Party TLOST$0
Party ULOST$0
Party VLOST$0
Party WLOST$0
Party XLOST$0
Party YLOST$0
Party ZLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-2404-0304-13
Mi HazánkMKKPDKFidesz-KDNP
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 96% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" resolve?
It resolved Mi Hazánk around April 12, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 95.9% one day before close, 98.3% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$179K across 36 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.