Who is favored in "Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, November 30 is the favorite at 33.5%, followed by December 31 at 29.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$4K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $286 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

Live market data

Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is November 30 at 33.5%, ahead of December 31 at 29.5%. $4K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

33.5%

November 30 · Trade →

24h move

-11.5

pts · 7d +3.5

Volume

$4K

24h $0 · liquidity $286

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Navy Trump Senate defense Politics

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
November 30	33.5%	-11.5	+3.5	$0	53.0¢
December 31	29.5%	+1.0	+1.5	$134	41.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

November 30December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying November 30 at 34% risks 34¢ to win 67¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, November 30 is the favorite at 33.5%, followed by December 31 at 29.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $4K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $286 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.