Resolved market scorecard
How many votes will Kamala Harris get?: result and scorecard
Resolved 74-76m. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.5%; a week before, 98.8%. $256K traded in total.
Result
74-76m
resolved December 17, 2024
Price 1 day before
99.5%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
98.8%
30 days before: 97.4%
Volume
$256K
12 outcomes
deprec USA ElectionPoliticsKamalaTurnoutPopular Vote
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| 74-76m | WON |
| 70-72m | LOST |
| 88m+ | LOST |
| 68-70m | LOST |
| 78-80m | LOST |
| <68m | LOST |
| 80-82m | LOST |
| 82-84m | LOST |
| 72-74m | LOST |
| 86-88m | LOST |
| 84-86m | LOST |
| 76-78m | LOST |
Price history to resolution
74-76m70-72m88m+68-70m
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on predicting the number of votes Kamala Harris will receive in the upcoming election.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "How many votes will Kamala Harris get?" resolve?
- It resolved 74-76m around November 5, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.5% one day before close, 98.8% one week before and 97.4% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $256K across 12 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.