How did "Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?" resolve?

It resolved No around April 1, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.7% one day before close, 95.0% one week before and 87.5% one month before.

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Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?: result and scorecard

Name: Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.7%; a week before, 95.0%. $20K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved April 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

98.7%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

95.0%

30 days before: 87.5%

Volume

$20K

1 outcome

Crypto Grok

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$20K
No	WON	$20K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the wallet associated with the first Grok memecoin launched with the help of Bankr, reaches a balance of $1M or more between February 2 and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Debank, specifically the Net Worth chart of the grok memecoin wallet set on "1W" available at https://debank.com/profile/0xb1058c959987e3513600eb5b4fd82aeee2a0e4f9, accessed by clicking on the portfolio value chart in the top right of the page

Frequently asked questions

How did "Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?" resolve?: It resolved No around April 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.7% one day before close, 95.0% one week before and 87.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $20K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.