GMGN FDV above ___ one day after launch?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is $300M at 45.0%, ahead of $200M at 39.5%. $48K traded across 13 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| $300M | 45.0% | +3.5 |
| $200M | 39.5% | 0.0 |
| $900M | 35.5% | 0.0 |
| $600M | 33.5% | +0.5 |
| $700M | 32.0% | -3.5 |
| $400M | 31.5% | +0.5 |
| $800M | 31.0% | +1.0 |
| $500M | 26.5% | 0.0 |
| $1B | 11.5% | 0.0 |
| $1.5B | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| $4B | 5.3% | -0.1 |
| $3B | 5.0% | 0.0 |
| $2B | 4.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "GMGN FDV above ___ one day after launch?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, $300M is the favorite at 45.0%, followed by $200M at 39.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $48K in total and $62 in the last 24 hours, with about $29K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.