Resolved market scorecard
First Pump.fun coin to 1b?: result and scorecard
Resolved Other/None before April 2025. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 83.5%; a week before, 72.0%. $2.1M traded in total.
Result
Other/None before April 2025
resolved November 12, 2024
Price 1 day before
83.5%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
72.0%
30 days before: 71.0%
Volume
$2.1M
7 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Other/None before April 2025 | WON |
| $FWOG | LOST |
| $BILLY | LOST |
| $MOODENG | LOST |
| $DADDY | LOST |
| $MOTHER | LOST |
| $michi | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Other/None before April 2025$FWOG$BILLY$MOODENG
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 84% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on which Pump.fun coin will first reach a market capitalization of 1 billion dollars.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "First Pump.fun coin to 1b?" resolve?
- It resolved Other/None before April 2025 around March 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 83.5% one day before close, 72.0% one week before and 71.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $2.1M across 7 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.