Resolved market scorecard
Fed rate cut by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved September meeting. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.0%; a week before, 97.3%. $1.6M traded in total.
Result
September meeting
resolved September 17, 2025
Price 1 day before
98.0%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
97.3%
30 days before: 68.5%
Volume
$1.6M
4 outcomes
Fed RatesTrump PresidencyEconomyTrumpFed
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| September meeting | WON |
| December meeting | WON |
| October meeting | WON |
| July meeting | LOST |
Price history to resolution
September meetingDecember meetingOctober meetingJuly meeting
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on the timing of the next Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Fed rate cut by...?" resolve?
- It resolved September meeting around December 10, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.0% one day before close, 97.3% one week before and 68.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.6M across 4 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.