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Home / Markets / February Unemployment Rate - Mexico
Resolved market scorecard

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico: result and scorecard

Resolved 2.6%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 36.9%; a week before, 4.0%. $51K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

2.6%
resolved March 27, 2026

Price 1 day before

36.9%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

4.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$51K
7 outcomes

Macro IndicatorsunemploymentEconomyMexico

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
2.6%WON$10K
≤2.4%LOST$21K
2.5%LOST$7K
≥3.0%LOST$5K
2.7%LOST$3K
2.9%LOST$3K
2.8%LOST$3K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-2703-1303-27
2.6%≤2.4%2.5%≥3.0%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 37% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the National Survey of Occupation and Employment, published by INEGI every month at https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enoe/15ymas/ The next data release is scheduled for March 27, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Frequently asked questions

How did "February Unemployment Rate - Mexico" resolve?
It resolved 2.6% around March 27, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 36.9% one day before close, 4.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$51K across 7 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.