Extended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Kraken at 71.0%, ahead of Bybit at 45.5%. $44K traded across 7 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CryptoExtendedPre-MarketCrypto Listings
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Kraken | 71.0% | +0.5 |
| Bybit | 45.5% | -2.0 |
| Coinbase | 44.5% | +2.0 |
| OKX | 32.5% | -3.0 |
| Upbit | 28.5% | +1.0 |
| Revolut | 18.5% | +0.5 |
| Binance | 14.0% | +0.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Extended's token is listed for spot trading on the exchange named in the title within 30 days after the token's launch (TGE). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Extended after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. A qualifying listing means the token is available for spot trading on the exchange's primary global platform at any point from the token's launch through 11:59 PM ET on the 30th calendar day following the calendar day of launch (measured in ET). Perpetual futures, other derivatives, and pre-launch markets do not qualify. Roadmap additions, listing announcements, and deposit-only support do not qualify unless spot trading is live by the deadline. Listings available only on regional or affiliate platforms (e.g. Binance.US, Binance TR, Binance Alpha, Coinbase International Exchange, Upbit Singapore) do not qualify. A listing qualifies regardless of jurisdictional availability. Spot trading does not need to be accessible in any specific country or region, provided it is live on the exchange's primary global platform. On Revolut, a qualifying listing means the token is available for spot trading or purchase by retail users on the Revolut app or on Revolut X, in any region where Revolut offers crypto trading. If Extended does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the respective exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Extended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Kraken is the favorite at 71.0%, followed by Bybit at 45.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $44K in total and $201 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.