Ethereum Up or Down on November 15?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Up at 72.5%, ahead of Down at 27.5%. $67K traded across 2 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
EthereumUp or DownToday 🚀DailyCrypto
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Up | 72.5% | +22.5 |
| Down | 27.5% | -22.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-15 10:15 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Ethereum Up or Down on November 15?"?
- As of November 15, 2026, Up is the favorite at 72.5%, followed by Down at 27.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 15, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $67K in total and $67K in the last 24 hours, with about $35K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.