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Home / Markets / Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)
Resolved market scorecard

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live): result and scorecard

Resolved The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 90.0%; a week before, 89.3%. $74K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny
resolved September 6, 2026

Price 1 day before

90.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

89.3%
30 days before: 55.7%

Volume

$74K
5 outcomes

TVEmmysAwardsCulture

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad BunnyWON$54K
The OscarsLOST$9K
The TonysLOST$5K
The Golden GlobesLOST$3K
The GrammysLOST$3K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-1008-0809-06
The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad BunnyThe OscarsThe TonysThe Golden Globes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 90% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)" resolve?
It resolved The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny around September 14, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 90.0% one day before close, 89.3% one week before and 55.7% one month before.
How much was traded?
$74K across 5 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.