Resolved market scorecard
Democratic VP nominee on election day?: result and scorecard
Resolved Tim Walz. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 99.6%. $244.5M traded in total.
Result
Tim Walz
resolved November 5, 2024
Price 1 day before
99.8%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
99.6%
30 days before: 98.4%
Volume
$244.5M
14 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Tim Walz | WON |
| Gavin Newsom | LOST |
| Michelle Obama | LOST |
| Kamala Harris | LOST |
| Mark Kelly | LOST |
| Gretchen Whitmer | LOST |
| Gina Raimondo | LOST |
| J.B. Pritzker | LOST |
| Josh Shapiro | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
| Andy Beshear | LOST |
| Joe Biden | LOST |
| Hillary Clinton | LOST |
| Pete Buttigieg | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Tim WalzGavin NewsomMichelle ObamaKamala Harris
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on who the Democratic nominee for Vice President of the United States of America in the 2024 election will be on Election Day.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Democratic VP nominee on election day?" resolve?
- It resolved Tim Walz around November 4, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 99.6% one week before and 98.4% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $244.5M across 14 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.