Resolved market scorecard
Cracker of the Year: result and scorecard
Resolved Donald Trump. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $18K traded in total.
Result
Donald Trump
resolved December 28, 2024
Price 1 day before
–
Unknown
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$18K
8 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Donald Trump | WON |
| Joe Biden | LOST |
| Dave Portnoy | LOST |
| Shane Gillis | LOST |
| Zach Bryan | LOST |
| Elon Musk | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
| Mike Mayock | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Not enough price history yet for a chart.
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Cracker of the Year award.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Cracker of the Year" resolve?
- It resolved Donald Trump around December 27, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $18K across 8 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.