Who is favored in "Clavicular in jail by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 24.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$15K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $96 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Live market data

Clavicular in jail by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Clavicular in jail by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is December 31 at 24.5%. $15K traded across 1 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

24.5%

December 31 · Trade →

24h move

-1.5

pts · 7d -13.0

Volume

$15K

24h $0 · liquidity $96

Closes

November 1, 2026

0 days left

clav arrest Culture charges Politics

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
December 31	24.5%	-1.5	-13.0	$1K	35.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31 at 25% risks 25¢ to win 76¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Clavicular in jail by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 24.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $15K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $96 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.