Who is favored in "Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10PM ET"?

As of November 6, 2026, Down is the favorite at 50.5%, followed by Up at 49.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 6, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$384 in total and $384 in the last 24 hours, with about $17K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10PM ET

Live market data

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10PM ET: live odds and probabilities

Name: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10PM ET prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Down at 50.5%, ahead of Up at 49.5%. $384 traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

50.5%

Down · Trade →

24h move

+0.5

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$384

24h $384 · liquidity $17K

Closes

November 6, 2026

0 days left

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All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Down	50.5%	+0.5	0.0	$384	1.0¢
Up	49.5%	-0.5	0.0	$384	1.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

DownUp

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Down at 51% risks 51¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10PM ET"?: As of November 6, 2026, Down is the favorite at 50.5%, followed by Up at 49.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 6, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $384 in total and $384 in the last 24 hours, with about $17K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.