Who is favored in "Bitcoin best month in 2026?"?

As of November 6, 2026, August is the favorite at 90.8%, followed by December at 4.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$879K in total and $934 in the last 24 hours, with about $19K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Bitcoin best month in 2026?

Live market data

Bitcoin best month in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Bitcoin best month in 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is August at 90.8%, ahead of December at 4.5%. $879K traded across 3 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

90.8%

August · Trade →

24h move

+0.4

pts · 7d +12.2

Volume

$879K

24h $934 · liquidity $19K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Crypto Bitcoin Yearly Crypto Prices best month

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
August	90.8%	+0.4	+12.2	$36K	3.3¢
December	4.5%	0.0	-4.0	$42K	3.0¢
November	3.5%	-0.5	-1.1	$41K	1.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

AugustDecemberNovember

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying August at 91% risks 91¢ to win 9¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Bitcoin best month in 2026?"?: As of November 6, 2026, August is the favorite at 90.8%, followed by December at 4.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $879K in total and $934 in the last 24 hours, with about $19K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.