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Home / Markets / Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Resolved market scorecard

Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?: result and scorecard

Resolved $300M. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 86.7%; a week before, 28.1%. $910K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

$300M
resolved May 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

86.7%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

28.1%
30 days before: 6.5%

Volume

$910K
7 outcomes

CryptoFDVPre-MarketBillions

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
$300MWON$176K
$100MWON$135K
$200MWON$129K
$50MWON$100K
$500MLOST$156K
$1BLOST$118K
$700MLOST$97K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-1404-0905-05
$300M$100M$200M$50M
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 87% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Billion's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Billions (https://x.com/billions_ntwk) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

How did "Billions FDV above ___ one day after launch?" resolve?
It resolved $300M around January 1, 2028.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 86.7% one day before close, 28.1% one week before and 6.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$910K across 7 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.