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Home / Markets / Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Live market data

Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Juan Manuel La Serna at 61.5%, ahead of Carlos Maria Zarate at 38.5%. $92 traded across 17 markets.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

61.5%
Juan Manuel La Serna · Trade →

24h move

-0.5
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$92
24h $117 · liquidity $60K

Closes

November 13, 2026
7 days left

TennisSportsGames

Markets for this game

MarketSide ASide BVolume
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate
moneyline
Juan Manuel La Serna 61.5%Carlos Maria Zarate 38.5%$92
Completed Match
tennis completed match
Yes 55.0%No 45.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 Winner
tennis first set winner
Juan Manuel La Serna 59.0%Carlos Maria Zarate 41.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 Winner
tennis set winner
Juan Manuel La Serna 50.0%Carlos Maria Zarate 50.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Total Sets: O/U 2.5
tennis set totals
Over 2.5 38.0%Under 2.5 62.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 8.5
tennis first set totals
Over 70.0%Under 30.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 9.5
tennis first set totals
Over 49.0%Under 51.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 10.5
tennis first set totals
Over 24.5%Under 75.5%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 O/U 8.5
tennis set games totals
Over 49.0%Under 51.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 O/U 9.5
tennis set games totals
Over 49.0%Under 51.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 O/U 10.5
tennis set games totals
Over 49.0%Under 51.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Match O/U 21.5
tennis match totals
Over 50.5%Under 49.5%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Match O/U 22.5
tennis match totals
Over 44.0%Under 56.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Match O/U 23.5
tennis match totals
Over 47.0%Under 53.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set Handicap +/-1.5
tennis set handicap
Juan Manuel La Serna 40.0%Carlos Maria Zarate 60.0%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set Handicap +/-1.5
tennis set handicap
Carlos Maria Zarate 22.5%Juan Manuel La Serna 77.5%$0
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Game Spread +/-2.5
tennis game handicap
Juan Manuel La Serna 51.5%Carlos Maria Zarate 48.5%$0

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-0511-0511-06
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Juan Manuel La SernaVilla Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 10.5 · UnderVilla Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 8.5 · OverVilla Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Total Sets: O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5

Market rules and resolution

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Carlos Maria Zarate" if Carlos Maria Zarate wins by 2 or more sets than Juan Manuel La Serna, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Juan Manuel La Serna." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Maria Zarate can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Juan Manuel La Serna." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Juan Manuel La Serna at 62% risks 62¢ to win 39¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate"?
As of November 6, 2026, Juan Manuel La Serna is the favorite at 61.5%, followed by Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 10.5 · Under at 75.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 13, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$92 in total and $117 in the last 24 hours, with about $60K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.