Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Juan Manuel La Serna at 61.5%, ahead of Carlos Maria Zarate at 38.5%. $92 traded across 17 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Carlos Maria Zarate" if Carlos Maria Zarate wins by 2 or more sets than Juan Manuel La Serna, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Juan Manuel La Serna." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Maria Zarate can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Juan Manuel La Serna." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Juan Manuel La Serna is the favorite at 61.5%, followed by Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 10.5 · Under at 75.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 13, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $92 in total and $117 in the last 24 hours, with about $60K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.