Metz: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Martin Krumich at 73.5%, ahead of Matthew William Donald at 26.5%. $29K traded across 9 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-15 10:15 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Martin Krumich in the Metz, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Martin Krumich. This market will resolve to 'Martin Krumich' if Martin Krumich advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Martin Krumich in the Metz Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Matthew William Donald” if Matthew William Donald wins the first set. It will resolve to “Martin Krumich” if Martin Krumich wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Metz: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich"?
- As of November 15, 2026, Martin Krumich is the favorite at 73.5%, followed by Metz: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set Handicap +/-1.5 · Martin Krumich at 99.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 22, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $29K in total and $30K in the last 24 hours, with about $156K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.