How did "AOC charged before July? " resolve?

It resolved No around June 30, 2025.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 99.9% one week before and 99.1% one month before.

BetG8Get the brief

LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →

Home / Markets / AOC charged before July?

Resolved market scorecard

AOC charged before July? : result and scorecard

Name: AOC charged before July? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 100.0%; a week before, 99.9%. $114K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved July 1, 2025

Price 1 day before

100.0%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.9%

30 days before: 99.1%

Volume

$114K

1 outcome

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Politics DOGE Trump Trump Presidency

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$114K
No	WON	$114K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "AOC charged before July? " resolve?: It resolved No around June 30, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 99.9% one week before and 99.1% one month before.
How much was traded?: $114K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?Will the next elected US president be a woman?Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.