2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Chicago Bulls at 50.3%, ahead of Oklahoma City Thunder at 50.3%. $1K traded across 36 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls | 50.3% | -0.1 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 50.3% | -0.1 |
| Sacramento Kings | 50.3% | -0.1 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 50.2% | -0.1 |
| Team A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Team B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Team C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Team D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Team E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Detroit Pistons | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Boston Celtics | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 49.9% | +0.1 |
| Indiana Pacers | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Miami Heat | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Toronto Raptors | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Denver Nuggets | 49.3% | +38.7 |
| New York Knicks | 48.5% | +1.0 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 48.0% | +3.5 |
| Orlando Magic | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Utah Jazz | 47.5% | +1.3 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 47.0% | +2.5 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 46.0% | 0.0 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 45.8% | -0.8 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 45.7% | -4.3 |
| Washington Wizards | 45.6% | +35.0 |
| Houston Rockets | 45.3% | +0.2 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 45.2% | -3.5 |
| Golden State Warriors | 45.0% | -4.9 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 4.0% | 0.0 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 3.6% | 0.0 |
| Phoenix Suns | 3.2% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Chicago Bulls is the favorite at 50.3%, followed by Oklahoma City Thunder at 50.3%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on June 2, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $1K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $512 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.