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Resolved market scorecard

World Cup Winner : result and scorecard

Resolved Spain. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 59.1%; a week before, 20.6%. $4.33B traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Spain
resolved July 20, 2026

Price 1 day before

59.1%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

20.6%
30 days before: 13.7%

Volume

$4.33B
60 outcomes

SportsSoccerFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupHide From New

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
SpainWON$152.2M
ArgentinaLOST$174.3M
EgyptLOST$158.6M
MoroccoLOST$152.3M
USALOST$142.5M
MexicoLOST$137.8M
NorwayLOST$137.3M
SwitzerlandLOST$132.8M
FranceLOST$132.4M
BelgiumLOST$129.3M
Cape VerdeLOST$119.2M
Ivory CoastLOST$111.7M
EnglandLOST$110.2M
CroatiaLOST$109.5M
PortugalLOST$109.1M
South KoreaLOST$107.5M
ParaguayLOST$107.4M
ColombiaLOST$104.7M
CanadaLOST$102.9M
EcuadorLOST$96.9M
Congo DRLOST$96.1M
JapanLOST$95.8M
AlgeriaLOST$90.3M
GhanaLOST$89.1M
AustraliaLOST$88.4M
AustriaLOST$85.7M
BrazilLOST$81.9M
GermanyLOST$80.9M
SenegalLOST$80.7M
UruguayLOST$78.0M
NetherlandsLOST$77.7M
SwedenLOST$77.5M
ScotlandLOST$67.9M
Bosnia-HerzegovinaLOST$63.5M
IranLOST$62.2M
TurkiyeLOST$61.7M
UzbekistanLOST$61.5M
CzechiaLOST$57.5M
Saudi ArabiaLOST$57.3M
New ZealandLOST$47.5M
South AfricaLOST$46.6M
QatarLOST$45.1M
CuraçaoLOST$44.0M
TunisiaLOST$36.5M
HaitiLOST$33.3M
JordanLOST$33.1M
IraqLOST$30.6M
PanamaLOST$20.0M
ItalyLOST$8.7M
PeruLOST$265K
OtherLOST$0
Team AGLOST$0
Team AHLOST$0
Team AILOST$0
Team AJLOST$0
Team AKLOST$0
Team ALLOST$0
Team AMLOST$0
Team ANLOST$0
Team AOLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-0301-1007-20
SpainArgentinaEgyptMorocco
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 59% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "World Cup Winner " resolve?
It resolved Spain around July 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 59.1% one day before close, 20.6% one week before and 13.7% one month before.
How much was traded?
$4.33B across 60 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.