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Home / Markets / Women's Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026
Resolved market scorecard

Women's Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026: result and scorecard

Resolved Pernille Harder. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 95.5%; a week before, 87.0%. $56K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Pernille Harder
resolved October 26, 2026

Price 1 day before

95.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

87.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$56K
30 outcomes

AwardsSoccerSportsHide From NewWomens Ballon d'Or

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Pernille HarderWON$4K
Claudia PinaWON$4K
Patri GuijarroWON$4K
Caroline Graham HansenWON$3K
Temwa ChawingaWON$3K
Melchie DumornayWON$1K
Khadija ShawWON$1K
Ewa PajorWON$918
Alexia PutellasWON$824
Alessia RussoWON$683
Yui HasegawaLOST$8K
Klara BuhlLOST$5K
Cata CollLOST$4K
Mariona CaldenteyLOST$2K
Melvine MalardLOST$2K
Wendie RenardLOST$2K
Barbra BandaLOST$2K
Manaka MatsukuboLOST$2K
Tessa WullaertLOST$2K
Vivianne MiedemaLOST$1K
Caroline WeirLOST$779
LorenaLOST$662
Rose LavelleLOST$639
Alex GreenwoodLOST$637
Selma BachaLOST$632
Momoko TanikawaLOST$627
Scarlett CamberosLOST$488
Esmee BrugtsLOST$277
Kerstin CasparijLOST$223
Mapi LeónLOST$176

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-3010-1310-26
Pernille HarderClaudia PinaPatri GuijarroCaroline Graham Hansen
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 96% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Women's Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026" resolve?
It resolved Pernille Harder around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 95.5% one day before close, 87.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$56K across 30 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.