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Home / Markets / Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start
Resolved market scorecard

Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start: result and scorecard

Resolved Marijke Groenewoud (NED). One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 43.5%; a week before, 62.0%. $48K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Marijke Groenewoud (NED)
resolved February 21, 2026

Price 1 day before

43.5%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

62.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$48K
39 outcomes

Sports2026 Winter GamesOlympics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Marijke Groenewoud (NED)WON$7K
Francesca Lollobrigida (ITA)LOST$4K
Aurora Grinden Lovas (NOR)LOST$3K
Binyu Yang (CHN)LOST$3K
Greta Myers (USA)LOST$3K
Ji-Woo Park (KOR)LOST$3K
Sandrine Tas (BEL)LOST$3K
Ayano Sato (JPN)LOST$2K
Fran Vanhoutte (BEL)LOST$2K
Leewon Lim (KOR)LOST$2K
Momoka Horikawa (JPN)LOST$2K
Sofia Thorup (DEN)LOST$2K
Josie Hofmann (GER)LOST$2K
Josephine Schlorb (GER)LOST$2K
Kaitlyn McGregor (SUI)LOST$2K
Ramona Hardi (SUI)LOST$2K
Bente Kerkhoff (NED)LOST$1K
Ivanie Blondin (CAN)LOST$1K
Mia Manganello (USA)LOST$914
Valerie Maltais (CAN)LOST$824
Jeannine Rosner (AUT)LOST$577
Jundan Hou (CHN)LOST$571
Elizaveta Golubeva (KAZ)LOST$431
Placeholder 1LOST$0
Placeholder 2LOST$0
Placeholder 3LOST$0
Placeholder 4LOST$0
Placeholder 5LOST$0
Placeholder 6LOST$0
Placeholder 7LOST$0
Placeholder 8LOST$0
Placeholder 9LOST$0
Placeholder 10LOST$0
Placeholder 11LOST$0
Placeholder 12LOST$0
Placeholder 13LOST$0
Placeholder 14LOST$0
Placeholder 15LOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-0702-1402-21
Marijke Groenewoud (NED)Francesca Lollobrigida (ITA)Aurora Grinden Lovas (NOR)Binyu Yang (CHN)
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 44% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Frequently asked questions

How did "Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start" resolve?
It resolved Marijke Groenewoud (NED) around February 23, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 43.5% one day before close, 62.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$48K across 39 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.