Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31?: live odds and probabilities

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Spirit's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: magixx, donk, zont1x, sh1ro, tN1R. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.