Will MOUZ Make a Roster Change by December 31?: live odds and probabilities

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves MOUZ's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of MOUZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: torzsi, xertioN, Spinx, xelex, PR. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.