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Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is December 31, 2026 at 8.6%. $152K traded across 1 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

8.6%
December 31, 2026 · Trade →

24h move

-13.1
pts · 7d -6.0

Volume

$152K
24h $94 · liquidity $1K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

Crypto TreasuryCryptoBitcoin

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
December 31, 20268.6% -13.1-6.0$138K12.7¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%12-0105-2011-06
December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31, 2026 at 9% risks 9¢ to win 91¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?"?
As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2026 is the favorite at 8.6%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$152K in total and $94 in the last 24 hours, with about $1K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.