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Home / Markets / Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? : result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.6%; a week before, 96.8%. $112K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved January 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.6%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

96.8%
30 days before: 98.2%

Volume

$112K
1 outcome

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Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$112K
NoWON$112K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-2809-2901-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Verstappen is no longer officially contracted to race for Red Bull Racing in Formula 1 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Max Verstappen must no longer be under contract to race for Red Bull Racing in Formula 1 as of the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes". An agreement indicating he will leave after the resolution date will not qualify as "Yes" for this market. Temporary absences (e.g., due to injury, suspension, or personal reasons) do not count unless they are accompanied by official confirmation of contract termination or departure. The primary resolution source will be official statements from Red Bull Racing or Formula 1, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? " resolve?
It resolved No around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.6% one day before close, 96.8% one week before and 98.2% one month before.
How much was traded?
$112K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.