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Home / Markets / Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Resolved market scorecard

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 100.0%; a week before, 99.7%. $371K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved October 21, 2026

Price 1 day before

100.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.7%
30 days before: 98.6%

Volume

$371K
1 outcome

SportsNBA

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$371K
NoWON$371K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-0305-1310-21
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?" resolve?
It resolved No around October 22, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 99.7% one week before and 98.6% one month before.
How much was traded?
$371K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.