Resolved market scorecard
Will Lebron James retire before July?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 100.0%; a week before, 99.6%. $39K traded in total.
Result
No
resolved July 2, 2025
Price 1 day before
100.0%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
99.6%
30 days before: 97.8%
Volume
$39K
1 outcome
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lebron James retires from the NBA by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Announcements that he retiring after the 2025-26 NBA season won't quality. The resolution source will be statements from Lebron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Lebron James retire before July?" resolve?
- It resolved No around June 30, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 99.6% one week before and 97.8% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $39K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.