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Home / Markets / Will LeBron James be traded this offseason?
Resolved market scorecard

Will LeBron James be traded this offseason?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 100.0%; a week before, 99.7%. $33K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved October 3, 2025

Price 1 day before

100.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.7%
30 days before: 97.4%

Volume

$33K
1 outcome

SportsNBA

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$33K
NoWON$33K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-0308-1810-03
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James is traded by the Los Angeles Lakers to any other NBA team by October 1, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If LeBron James is involved in a sign-and-trade to another team, this market will resolve to "Yes". If LeBron James opts out of his contract and signs with a new team, but is not traded, this market will resolve to "No". If LeBron James retires, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers or LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will LeBron James be traded this offseason?" resolve?
It resolved No around October 1, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 99.7% one week before and 97.4% one month before.
How much was traded?
$33K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.