Resolved market scorecard
Will Lebron James be traded?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.4%; a week before, 99.1%. $71K traded in total.
Result
No
resolved February 6, 2025
Price 1 day before
99.4%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
99.1%
30 days before: 97.9%
Volume
$71K
1 outcome
Lebron JamesLebronRob PelinkawarriorsLA
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lebron James of the Los Angeles Lakers is traded before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA, the Los Angeles Lakers, or the Klutch Sports Group, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Lebron James be traded?" resolve?
- It resolved No around February 6, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.4% one day before close, 99.1% one week before and 97.9% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $71K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.