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Home / Markets / Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.3%; a week before, 99.5%. $25K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved September 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.3%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.5%
30 days before: 98.5%

Volume

$25K
1 outcome

SportsmbappéSoccerreal madrid

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$25K
NoWON$25K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-0807-0509-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid. If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered. If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?" resolve?
It resolved No around September 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.3% one day before close, 99.5% one week before and 98.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$25K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.