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Home / Markets / Will Jiankui He launch a memecoin before May?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Jiankui He launch a memecoin before May?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.4%; a week before, 98.2%. $20K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved May 2, 2025

Price 1 day before

99.4%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.2%
30 days before: 88.0%

Volume

$20K
1 outcome

internetMemecoinsCryptoCulture

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$20K
NoWON$20K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-2504-1305-02
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

On March 21, controversial gene editing researcher Jiankui He ran a poll on whether he should create a memecoin to fund his research. It ended with a "Yes" answer. You can see that poll here: https://x.com/Jiankui_He/status/1903267906298982608 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jiankui He officially launches a token by April, 30 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Jiankui He, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Jiankui He launch a memecoin before May?" resolve?
It resolved No around April 30, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.4% one day before close, 98.2% one week before and 88.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$20K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.