Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is December 31, 2027 at 33.5%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 5.1%. $129K traded across 2 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
token launchCryptoPre-MarketGMGN
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
| December 31, 2026 | 5.1% | -0.4 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:11 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2027 is the favorite at 33.5%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 5.1%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $129K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.