What are the odds that Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 44.5% and No at 55.5%, on $101K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$101K in total and $157 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Live market data

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 44.5% (0.0 pts in 24h). $101K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

44.5%

No 55.5% · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d -3.0

Volume

$101K

24h $157 · liquidity $2K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Jews Israel Culture Clavicular

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	44.5%	0.0	-3.0	$101K	1.0¢
No	55.5%	0.0	+3.0	$101K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 45% risks 45¢ to win 55¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 44.5% and No at 55.5%, on $101K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $101K in total and $157 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.