Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?: result and scorecard
Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 100.0%. $252K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
KPIsApple EventAppleBig TechTech
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | WON |
| No | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?" resolve?
- It resolved Yes around January 1, 2027.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 100.0% one week before and 98.6% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $252K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.