Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved December 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 99.6%. $1.2M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
KPIsApple EventAppleTechBig Tech
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| December 31 | WON |
| October 31 | WON |
| September 30 | LOST |
| September 15 | LOST |
| September 10 | LOST |
| September 9 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" resolve?
- It resolved December 31 around January 1, 2027.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 99.6% one week before and 99.1% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.2M across 6 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.