Resolved market scorecard
[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024: result and scorecard
Resolved Kamala Harris. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.1%; a week before, 97.9%. $7.2M traded in total.
Result
Kamala Harris
resolved August 7, 2024
Price 1 day before
99.1%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
97.9%
30 days before: 51.0%
Volume
$7.2M
7 outcomes
Alldemocratic partydepec us electionsPoliticsgavin newsom
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | WON |
| Joe Biden | LOST |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | LOST |
| Gavin Newsom | LOST |
| Hillary Clinton | LOST |
| Pete Buttigieg | LOST |
| Dean Phillips | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Kamala HarrisJoe BidenRobert F. Kennedy Jr.Gavin Newsom
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on predicting the Democratic nominee for the 2024 presidential election.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024" resolve?
- It resolved Kamala Harris around August 9, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.1% one day before close, 97.9% one week before and 51.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $7.2M across 7 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.