Resolved market scorecard
Who will endorse Kamala?: result and scorecard
Resolved Barack Obama. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 91.0%; a week before, –. $1.7M traded in total.
Result
Barack Obama
resolved July 26, 2024
Price 1 day before
91.0%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$1.7M
9 outcomes
Kamala EndorsementsDem NomineeKamalaPolitics
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Barack Obama | WON |
| Michelle Obama | WON |
| Nancy Pelosi | WON |
| Chuck Schumer | WON |
| Gretchen Whitmer | WON |
| Hakeem Jeffries | WON |
| AOC | WON |
| Gavin Newsom | WON |
| Bernie Sanders | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Barack ObamaMichelle ObamaNancy PelosiChuck Schumer
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 91% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on who will publicly endorse Kamala Harris in the upcoming political cycle.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Who will endorse Kamala?" resolve?
- It resolved Barack Obama around August 22, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 91.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.7M across 9 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.