Who will acquire TikTok?: result and scorecard
Resolved Larry Ellison/Oracle. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.0%; a week before, 57.5%. $1.3M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
TikTokTechChinaBig TechFinance
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Larry Ellison/Oracle | WON |
| Microsoft | LOST |
| Meta | LOST |
| Elon Musk / X (Twitter) | LOST |
| Walmart | LOST |
| Amazon | LOST |
| AppLovin | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Who will acquire TikTok?" resolve?
- It resolved Larry Ellison/Oracle around December 31, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.0% one day before close, 57.5% one week before and 74.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.3M across 7 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.