Which countries will Clavicular visit in 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Japan at 23.0%, ahead of South Korea at 18.6%. $38K traded across 12 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Japan | 23.0% | +0.5 |
| South Korea | 18.6% | +0.1 |
| United Kingdom | 17.5% | -5.5 |
| Thailand | 14.4% | -1.4 |
| Philippines | 13.5% | 0.0 |
| Colombia | 13.5% | -7.0 |
| Russia | 13.5% | +0.5 |
| Brazil | 12.8% | -1.6 |
| Germany | 5.0% | +0.4 |
| China | 4.7% | 0.0 |
| North Korea | 3.1% | +0.1 |
| Iran | 2.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
If Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, visits a listed country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Clavicular physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Clavicular enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For the purposes of this market, "China" includes all territory administered by the People's Republic of China, including Special Administrative Regions, excluding Taiwan. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Which countries will Clavicular visit in 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Japan is the favorite at 23.0%, followed by South Korea at 18.6%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $38K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $6K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.