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Resolved market scorecard

Where will Giannis be traded?: result and scorecard

Resolved Not Traded. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 60.5%; a week before, 43.0%. $3.5M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Not Traded
resolved February 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

60.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

43.0%
30 days before: 77.5%

Volume

$3.5M
32 outcomes

SportsBasketballGiannisNBAknicks

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Not TradedWON$1.0M
HeatLOST$395K
WarriorsLOST$366K
KnicksLOST$309K
Chicago BullsLOST$278K
Minnesota TimberwolvesLOST$217K
LakersLOST$200K
RaptorsLOST$100K
HawksLOST$99K
SpursLOST$99K
Philadelphia 76ersLOST$96K
Cleveland CavaliersLOST$90K
ThunderLOST$89K
RocketsLOST$79K
Charlotte HornetsLOST$47K
PistonsLOST$41K
Team ILOST$0
Team JLOST$0
Team KLOST$0
Team LLOST$0
Team MLOST$0
Team NLOST$0
Team OLOST$0
Team PLOST$0
Team QLOST$0
Team RLOST$0
Team SLOST$0
Team TLOST$0
Team ULOST$0
Team VLOST$0
Team WLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-0401-0402-05
Not TradedHeatWarriorsKnicks
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 61% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the NBA team that officially acquires Giannis Antetokounmpo in a trade from the Milwaukee Bucks before the 2025-2026 NBA season trade deadline. If Giannis Antetokounmpo is cut, retires, is not on an NBA roster as of the resolution date, or otherwise remains on the Bucks through the NBA trade deadline, this market will resolve to "Not Traded". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Where will Giannis be traded?" resolve?
It resolved Not Traded around February 5, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 60.5% one day before close, 43.0% one week before and 77.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$3.5M across 32 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.