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Home / Markets / What will Brian Armstrong say during X space?
Resolved market scorecard

What will Brian Armstrong say during X space?: result and scorecard

Resolved Base. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 96.0%; a week before, –. $237K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Base
resolved February 19, 2025

Price 1 day before

96.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$237K
7 outcomes

coinbaseCryptoMentions

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
BaseWON$9K
Bitcoin 20+ timesLOST$215K
AI/Artificial IntelligenceLOST$6K
Crypto/Cryptocurrency 50+ timesLOST$2K
Trump 5+ timesLOST$2K
MiladyLOST$2K
Solana 5+ timesLOST$781

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-1302-1602-19
BaseBitcoin 20+ timesAI/Artificial IntelligenceCrypto/Cryptocurrency 50+ times
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 96% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, is scheduled to speak in an X space on Tuesday, February 18, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/coinbase/status/1889433772233298302). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brian Armstrong says the listed term during the X space. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. If no such space happens by February 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the X space.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Brian Armstrong say during X space?" resolve?
It resolved Base around February 18, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 96.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$237K across 7 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.